Archive for August, 2007

Aug 31 2007

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000 ABNT20 KNHC 302121 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SHOWERS ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON FRIDAY...IF NECESSARY. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 325 MILES EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON...AND THE LOW WILL HAVE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION BEFORE BECOMING OVERTAKEN BY THE FRONT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS SYSTEM IS ABOUT TO MOVE INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. NEVERTHELESS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MINIMAL AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISORGANIZED NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE GEORGIA COAST REMAINS MINIMAL...AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Aug 31 2007

Perspectivas de Las Condiciones Del Tiempo en el Tr

000 ACCA62 TJSJ 302128 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT JUEVES 30 DE AGOSTO DE 2007 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... AGUACEROS Y ALGUNAS TRONADAS CONTINUAN EN ASOCIACION CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A UNAS 525 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO SE HA TORNADO UN POCO MEJOR ORGANIZADA ESTA TARDE. SE ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO...Y ESTE SISTEMA TIENE POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN DEPRESION TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS UNO O DOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE EL SISTEMA SE MUEVES EN GENERAL HACIA EL OESTE. LOS INTERESES EN LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO INVESTIGARA ESTE SISTEMA EL VIERNES...DE SER NECESARIO. UN AREA PEQUENA DE BAJA PRESION COMO A UNAS 325 MILLAS AL ESTE DE CAPE HATTERAS SE ESTA MOVIENDO LENTAMENTE AL NORTE-NORESTE...Y SE ESPERA QUE COMIENZE A MOVERSE AL NORESTE DELANTE DE UN SISTEMA FRONTAL. LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS SE HA TORNADO MEJOR ORGANIZADA ESTA TARDE...Y LA BAJA PUDIERA TENER UNA BREVE OPORTUNIDAD DE FORMACION EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ANTES QUE SEA ABSORBIDO POR EL FRENTE EN UNOS DIAS. LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS HA AUMENTADO ESTA MANANA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. ESTE SISTEMA DEBERA MOVERSE SOBRE TIERRA FIRME EN MEXICO MAS TARDE HOY ANTES DE QUE OCURRA UN DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO. NO OBSTANTE... LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SON PROBABLES SOBRE EL ORIENTE Y EL CENTRO DE MEXICO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS...ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN PROVOCAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES Y DESLIZES DE LODO. UN AMPLIO AREA DE BAJA PRESION...ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL... ESTA CENTRALIZADA A UNAS 250 MILLAS AL OESTE-SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE. LA ACTIVIDAD DE LLUVIA CON ESTE SISTEMA ACTUALMENTE ES MINIMA Y EL DESARROLLO...DE OCURRIR ALGUNO...SERA LENTO. LA ACTIVIDAD DE LLUVIA ASOCIADA CON UN AREA NO-TROPICAL DE BAJA PRESION A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE LA COSTA DE GEROGIA HA DISMINUIDO...NO SE ANTICIPA DESARROLLO ADICIONAL. EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN

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Aug 30 2007

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000 ABNT20 KNHC 292104 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL FRONTAL LOW CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON THURSDAY...IF NECESSARY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY LOCATED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH

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Aug 30 2007

Perspectivas de Las Condiciones Del Tiempo en el Tr

000 ACCA62 TJSJ 292110 TWOSPN PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT MIERCOLES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2007 PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ALREDEOR DE 850 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS. AUNQUE ESTA ACTIVIDAD ESTA ACTUALMENTE DESORGANIZADA...SE ESPERA QUE LAS CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE TORNEN MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO DE ESTE SISTEMA A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH. UN AREA DE TIEMPO PERTURBADO SOBRE EL OESTE DEL ATLANTICO ESTA PRIMORDIALMENTE ASOCIADO CON UNA BAJA PRESION NO-TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A UNAS 300 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR. LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES PARA SU DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA LISTO PARA INVESTIGAR ESTE SISTEMA DURANTE EL JUEVES...DE SER NECESARIO...SE ESPERA QUE LA BAJA PRESION SE DESPLAZARA HACIA EL SUR. AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS LOCALIZADOS PRINCIPALMENTE SOBRE LA PENINSULA DEL YUCATAN ESTAN ASOCIADOS CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE TODA ESTA ACTIVIDAD SE MOVERA SOBRE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O MAS Y SEGUIRA BAJO OBSERVACION POR SI MUESTRA SENALES DE DESARROLLO. EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS. $$ PRONOSTICADOR RHOME/PASCH

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Aug 29 2007

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000 ABNT20 KNHC 282102 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT TUE AUG 28 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM HONDURAS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES WESTWARD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES HAVE NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA IS ASSOCIATED A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THEY COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER RHOME

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