Aug
31
2007
000
ABNT20 KNHC 302121
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SHOWERS ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 525
MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON
FRIDAY...IF NECESSARY.
A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 325 MILES EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS
IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
THIS AFTERNOON...AND THE LOW WILL HAVE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION BEFORE BECOMING OVERTAKEN BY THE
FRONT IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE
CONTINUES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS SYSTEM IS ABOUT TO MOVE
INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED. NEVERTHELESS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS
CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MINIMAL AND DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISORGANIZED NON-TROPICAL AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE GEORGIA COAST
REMAINS MINIMAL...AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Aug
31
2007
000
ACCA62 TJSJ 302128
TWOSPN
PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT JUEVES 30 DE AGOSTO DE 2007
PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...
AGUACEROS Y ALGUNAS TRONADAS CONTINUAN EN ASOCIACION CON UNA ONDA
TROPICAL LOCALIZADA A UNAS 525 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE
BARLOVENTO SE HA TORNADO UN POCO MEJOR ORGANIZADA ESTA TARDE. SE
ESPERA QUE LOS VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS SE TORNEN MAS FAVORABLES
PARA DESARROLLO...Y ESTE SISTEMA TIENE POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN
DEPRESION TROPICAL DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS UNO O DOS DIAS A MEDIDA QUE
EL SISTEMA SE MUEVES EN GENERAL HACIA EL OESTE. LOS INTERESES EN LAS
ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO DEBEN ESTAR ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO INVESTIGARA ESTE SISTEMA EL VIERNES...DE
SER NECESARIO.
UN AREA PEQUENA DE BAJA PRESION COMO A UNAS 325 MILLAS AL ESTE DE
CAPE HATTERAS SE ESTA MOVIENDO LENTAMENTE AL NORTE-NORESTE...Y SE
ESPERA QUE COMIENZE A MOVERSE AL NORESTE DELANTE DE UN SISTEMA
FRONTAL. LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS SE HA TORNADO MEJOR ORGANIZADA
ESTA TARDE...Y LA BAJA PUDIERA TENER UNA BREVE OPORTUNIDAD DE
FORMACION EN UN CICLON TROPICAL ANTES QUE SEA ABSORBIDO POR EL
FRENTE EN UNOS DIAS.
LA ACTIVIDAD DE AGUACEROS HA AUMENTADO ESTA MANANA CON UNA ONDA
TROPICAL MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE SOBRE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE. ESTE
SISTEMA DEBERA MOVERSE SOBRE TIERRA FIRME EN MEXICO MAS TARDE HOY
ANTES DE QUE OCURRA UN DESARROLLO SIGNIFICATIVO. NO OBSTANTE...
LLUVIAS LOCALMENTE FUERTES SON PROBABLES SOBRE EL ORIENTE Y EL
CENTRO DE MEXICO DURANTE EL PROXIMO DIA O DOS...ESTAS LLUVIAS
PODRIAN PROVOCAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES Y DESLIZES DE LODO.
UN AMPLIO AREA DE BAJA PRESION...ASOCIADA CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL...
ESTA CENTRALIZADA A UNAS 250 MILLAS AL OESTE-SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS
DE CABO VERDE. LA ACTIVIDAD DE LLUVIA CON ESTE SISTEMA ACTUALMENTE
ES MINIMA Y EL DESARROLLO...DE OCURRIR ALGUNO...SERA LENTO.
LA ACTIVIDAD DE LLUVIA ASOCIADA CON UN AREA NO-TROPICAL DE BAJA
PRESION A VARIOS CIENTOS DE MILLAS AL ESTE DE LA COSTA DE GEROGIA HA
DISMINUIDO...NO SE ANTICIPA DESARROLLO ADICIONAL.
EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.
$$
PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN
Aug
30
2007
000
ABNT20 KNHC 292104
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED AUG 29 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY IS
CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL FRONTAL LOW
CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON THURSDAY...IF NECESSARY. THE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY LOCATED OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO
AND WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
Aug
30
2007
000
ACCA62 TJSJ 292110
TWOSPN
PERSPECTIVAS DE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO
NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MIERCOLES 29 DE AGOSTO DE 2007
PARA EL ATLANTICO NORTE...EL MAR CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO...
UNA ONDA TROPICAL LOCALIZADA ALREDEOR DE 850 MILLAS AL ESTE DE LAS
ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO ESTA PRODUCIENDO AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS. AUNQUE
ESTA ACTIVIDAD ESTA ACTUALMENTE DESORGANIZADA...SE ESPERA QUE LAS
CONDICIONES AMBIENTALES SE TORNEN MAS FAVORABLES PARA DESARROLLO DE
ESTE SISTEMA A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE DE 15 A 20 MPH.
UN AREA DE TIEMPO PERTURBADO SOBRE EL OESTE DEL ATLANTICO ESTA
PRIMORDIALMENTE ASOCIADO CON UNA BAJA PRESION NO-TROPICAL LOCALIZADA
A UNAS 300 MILLAS AL SURESTE DE CHARLESTON CAROLINA DEL SUR. LOS
VIENTOS EN LOS NIVELES ALTOS PODRIAN TORNARSE UN POCO MAS FAVORABLES
PARA SU DESARROLLO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS...UN AVION DE
RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA ESTA LISTO PARA INVESTIGAR ESTE
SISTEMA DURANTE EL JUEVES...DE SER NECESARIO...SE ESPERA QUE LA BAJA
PRESION SE DESPLAZARA HACIA EL SUR.
AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS LOCALIZADOS PRINCIPALMENTE SOBRE LA PENINSULA
DEL YUCATAN ESTAN ASOCIADOS CON UNA ONDA TROPICAL. SE ESPERA QUE
TODA ESTA ACTIVIDAD SE MOVERA SOBRE LA BAHIA DE CAMPECHE DURANTE EL
PROXIMO DIA O MAS Y SEGUIRA BAJO OBSERVACION POR SI MUESTRA SENALES
DE DESARROLLO.
EN EL RESTO DEL AREA...NO SE ESPERA FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL
DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.
$$
PRONOSTICADOR RHOME/PASCH
Aug
29
2007
000
ABNT20 KNHC 282102
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE AUG 28 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM HONDURAS
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO PROXIMITY
TO LAND. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES WESTWARD.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES HAVE NOT BECOME
ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SOME
DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA IS ASSOCIATED A
NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THEY COULD BECOME
MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME